← Markets

Zelenskyy # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?: how this market works

72%politicsUpdated 5 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking how many times Zelenskyy posts on X (formerly Twitter) during a specific one-week window in July 2026. The three options cover low activity (60 to 79 posts), moderate activity (80 to 99 posts), and higher activity (100 to 119 posts). The market currently favors the middle range, 80 to 99 posts, meaning the crowd expects roughly 11 to 14 posts per day from his account over that week. The final count comes from an automated post tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com, which monitors his account from July 17 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time through July 24 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time. Only posts on his main feed count, including reposts and quote posts. Replies are excluded unless they appear on the main feed. One important detail: deleted posts still count if the tracker captured them within about five minutes of posting. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The most useful thing to watch would be any major developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict during that week, since Zelenskyy tends to post more frequently during active military or diplomatic events, and less during quieter periods. The core challenge is that posting volume depends on what is happening in the world during that specific week, which is genuinely unknowable right now. A ceasefire negotiation, a major attack, or a key diplomatic summit could each push the count higher or lower. His historical posting patterns give a baseline, but any single unusual week can shift the total significantly. The market leans clearly toward 80 to 99 posts, so the real question is mostly whether something unexpected disrupts that pattern.

The odds right now

  • 80-99+41.0 pts (1w)72%
  • 60-79-22.0 pts (1w)14%
  • 100-119-11.8 pts (1w)5%
  • 120-139-3.8 pts (1w)2%
  • 140-159-3.6 pts (1w)0%
  • 160-179-1.6 pts (1w)0%
  • 180-199-2.8 pts (1w)0%
  • 200+-0.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

80-99

72%+27.5%

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

  • 80-9972%
  • 60-7914%
  • 100-1195%
  • 120-1392%
  • 140-1590%
  • 160-1790%
  • 180-1990%
  • 200+0%

More markets like this

More market guides

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

On a trade of
Paridesk0.5%
$0.25
MetaMask Predictions4%
$2.00
Jupiter Predictmatches the exchange fee
~$1.00 to $2.00

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.

View & trade →