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#2 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)

Resolves Aug 31, 2026·$561 24h vol·tech
$561 total volume

Anthropic

39%-10.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Anthropic
Z.ai
Alibaba
Meta
Google
OpenAI
SpaceXAI
DeepSeek
Nvidia
Moonshot

Order Book

Anthropic

PriceSharesTotal
87.0¢11$10
78.0¢70$55
74.0¢47$35
73.0¢10$7
72.0¢11$8
68.0¢55$37
66.0¢24$16
65.0¢30$20
50.0¢last trade
52.0¢ spread
13.0¢52$7
12.0¢100$12
9.0¢100$9
6.0¢30$2
4.0¢69$3
3.0¢117$3
2.0¢275$6
1.0¢19$0
$41 bids$187 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Anthropic

40%