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Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Resolves Oct 1, 2026·$483.8k 24h vol·tech
$1.7M total volume·Open for 45 days

Anthropic

84%-4.0%
OutcomeYesNo
Anthropic
OpenAI
Google
Meta
SpaceXAI
Alibaba
Moonshot
Baidu
Z.ai
Xiaomi

Order Book

Anthropic

PriceSharesTotal
91.0¢10$9
90.0¢8$7
89.0¢222$198
88.0¢641$564
87.0¢5.1k$4.5k
86.0¢3.4k$2.9k
85.0¢3.6k$3.1k
84.0¢2.7k$2.3k
84.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
83.0¢168$139
82.0¢2.2k$1.8k
81.0¢8.8k$7.2k
80.0¢10.8k$8.7k
79.0¢3.0k$2.4k
78.0¢5.0k$3.9k
77.0¢3.4k$2.6k
76.0¢7.4k$5.6k
$32.3k bids$13.5k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Anthropic

84%