Highest temperature in Wellington on July 25?
12°C
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Understand this market
This market is asking: on July 25, 2026, what will the warmest temperature of the day be in Wellington, New Zealand? July is mid-winter in New Zealand, so the question is really about a cool winter day, not a heat wave. The three options are 11°C, 12°C, or 13°C, which in everyday terms is the range between a chilly 52°F and a mild 55°F. The market currently favors 12°C as the most likely outcome, with 13°C second and 11°C third.
Order Book
12°C
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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12°C
48%