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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 23?

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 23?

Resolves Jul 23, 2026·$9.1k 24h vol·weather
$9.1k total volume

33°C

38%+13.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on July 23, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Shenzhen, measured at the city's main airport weather station? The answer options are specific whole-number temperatures in Celsius. Think of it like guessing the peak reading on a thermometer at noon on a summer day in one of China's hottest cities. The three options currently offered are 32°C (about 90°F), 33°C (about 91°F), and 34°C (about 93°F).

OutcomeYesNo
33°C
34°C
32°C
31°C
35°C
30°C
36°C or higher
29°C
28°C
26°C or below

Order Book

33°C

PriceSharesTotal
45.0¢7$3
44.0¢50$22
43.0¢10$4
42.0¢45$19
41.0¢290$119
40.0¢3.1k$1.2k
39.0¢1.7k$651
38.0¢76$29
38.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
37.0¢1.4k$502
36.0¢3.8k$1.4k
35.0¢4.0k$1.4k
34.0¢204$69
32.0¢5$2
31.0¢5$2
30.0¢15$5
28.0¢17$5
$3.4k bids$2.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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33°C

38%