← Markets
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 22?

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$8.4k 24h vol·weather
$8.3k total volume

28°C

48%+9.5%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: how cool will Tokyo get overnight on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it is asking for the single coldest temperature reading of the entire day at Haneda Airport, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. July 22 is deep summer in Tokyo, so the 'low' here is the nighttime or early-morning temperature, not a cold winter reading. The three options are 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C, which in Fahrenheit is roughly 81°F to 84°F, so this is a warm tropical night either way.

OutcomeYesNo
28°C
27°C
29°C
30°C
26°C
25°C
24°C
31°C
32°C or higher
23°C

Order Book

28°C

PriceSharesTotal
67.0¢100$67
62.0¢100$62
59.0¢52$31
58.0¢30$17
55.0¢15$8
51.0¢635$324
50.0¢589$295
49.0¢61$30
48.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
47.0¢336$158
46.0¢1.4k$654
45.0¢11.3k$5.1k
44.0¢80$35
39.0¢40$16
38.0¢53$20
32.0¢30$10
27.0¢5$1
$6.0k bids$834 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Read the full market guide →

28°C

48%