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What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Resolves Jul 29, 2026·$14.4k 24h vol·politics
$14.4k total volume

Inflation 20+ times

86%+25.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking whether Kevin Warsh, who is expected to be the new Federal Reserve chair, will use certain specific words during his July 29, 2026 press conference. The Fed holds regular meetings and then the chair speaks publicly to explain their decisions. Here, three words or phrases are being tracked: 'Productivity', 'Inflation' said 20 or more times, and 'Balance Sheet'. A Yes on any of these means Warsh said that word or phrase the required number of times. A No means he did not.

OutcomeYesNo
Inflation 20+ times
Balance Sheet
Central Bank
Productivity
AI / Artificial Intelligence
North Star
Bet / Betting
Oil
Independence
Shock

Order Book

Inflation 20+ times

PriceSharesTotal
97.0¢510$495
96.0¢25$24
95.0¢62$59
92.0¢13$12
91.0¢62$57
88.0¢131$115
87.0¢120$104
86.0¢416$357
88.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
85.0¢606$515
84.0¢50$42
83.0¢278$231
81.0¢100$81
80.0¢40$32
71.0¢100$71
70.0¢20$14
45.0¢11$5
$991 bids$1.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Inflation 20+ times

86%