#1 song this week? (July 31): how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking one simple question: will 'Dai Dai' by Shakira and Burna Boy be the single most-streamed song on Spotify across the entire world for the week ending July 31, 2026? A Yes means that song had more plays globally than any other song that week. A No, or 'Other', means something else topped the chart instead. Spotify publishes a global weekly chart every Friday, covering streams from the previous Friday through Thursday. This market settles based on whichever song sits at number one on that chart for the week labeled July 31. The official source is Spotify's own charts page. One edge case to know: if Spotify somehow does not publish that chart by August 1 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time, the market automatically settles as 'Other', regardless of what any song was doing in the streaming numbers. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to this market. There are no recent articles about 'Dai Dai', Shakira, Burna Boy, or the Spotify global charts that week. The kind of news that would matter here would be a major new song release breaking streaming records, or a viral moment pushing a competitor track to the top of the charts. At 98%, the market is heavily skewed toward Yes, meaning most participants see very little chance of another song winning. The main remaining uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected happens: a surprise hit goes viral, a major artist drops a blockbuster song mid-week, or a global event causes a specific song to surge. Those scenarios are rare, which is why the odds are so lopsided. The question is not really 'which side is right' but rather 'does the unlikely happen?'

The odds right now

• Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy95%
• SWIM - BTS1%
• hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande1%
• Billie Jean - Michael Jackson0%
• Babydoll - Dominic Fike0%
• Earrings - Malcolm Todd0%
• Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj0%
• Wonderwall Remastered - Oasis0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled July 31. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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