Next UK Prime Minister: Live Odds & Predictions
UK leadership questions, who becomes the next Prime Minister and who wins a party leadership contest, recur whenever politics turns. Prediction markets price these races in real time, often moving well ahead of formal announcements as MPs declare and momentum shifts.
This hub follows the series across contests: the live leadership and next-PM markets when they are open, and resolved outcomes once each race is decided.
Open markets
Frequently asked
How do these markets resolve?
Each resolves to the person who actually takes the role, for example the next Prime Minister or the winner of a named party leadership election.