#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (August 7): how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which single song will be the most-streamed track in the United States on Spotify during the week that ends around August 7, 2026. A Yes on 'Petal' means that Ariana Grande song gets more US streams than every other song that week. A No on it means something else tops the chart instead. Spotify publishes a weekly US chart every Friday, covering streams from the previous Friday through Thursday. The market settles based on whichever song sits at number one on that official chart for the week labeled August 7. If Spotify does not publish the chart by August 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time, the market automatically resolves as 'Other', meaning no listed song wins. None of the provided news headlines relate to Spotify charts, music streaming, or the songs listed in this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development worth watching would be a new Ariana Grande release, a major competing song going viral, or any news about her tour or media appearances that could boost or split her streaming numbers. The market is heavily tilted toward 'Petal' by Ariana Grande at 88%, so the main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected disrupts that. A viral moment, a surprise release from a major artist, or a big cultural event could shift streams dramatically in a short time. Pop charts can move fast, and a lot can happen between now and early August 2026. The odds are lopsided, but the outcome is not guaranteed.

The odds right now

• Petal - Ariana Grande88%
• Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley8%
• hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande6%
• Been By Now - Morgan Wallen0%
• the cure - Olivia Rodrigo0%
• Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo0%
• Earrings - Malcolm Todd0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 7, 2026

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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