#2 song this week? (July 31): how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which song will sit at exactly number two on Spotify's global weekly chart for the week ending July 31, 2026. A win for 'Beauty and a Beat' means Justin Bieber and Nicki Minaj's song was the second most streamed track worldwide that week, across all Spotify listeners globally. A win for any other option means a different song took that runner-up spot. Number one and number two are counted separately, so even a hugely popular song misses if it lands in a different position. Spotify publishes its official global weekly chart every Friday, covering streams from the previous Friday through Thursday. The market settles based on whichever song Spotify officially lists as number two for the week labeled July 31. That data comes straight from Spotify's public charts page. There is one important edge case: if Spotify does not publish that chart by August 1 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time, the market defaults to a result of 'Other', regardless of which song was actually streamed the most. None of the provided news headlines relate to Spotify charts, music streaming, or any of the songs in this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is any news about a major new song release, a viral moment, or a shift in global streaming trends in the days leading up to the July 31 chart week. The market is very lopsided, with 'Beauty and a Beat' priced at 94%. At that level, the main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected disrupts it, not a genuine two-sided debate. Global streaming charts can shift quickly if a new song goes viral, a major artist drops a surprise release, or a cultural moment sends streams surging elsewhere. The chart also covers a full week of data, so anything happening across those seven days matters. Still, the market is treating this as close to a settled question.

The odds right now

• Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj94%
• Billie Jean - Michael Jackson3%
• SWIM - BTS1%
• Babydoll - Dominic Fike1%
• hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande1%
• Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy1%
• Wonderwall Remastered - Oasis1%
• Earrings - Malcolm Todd0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled July 31. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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