Ethereum above ___ on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This is actually three separate markets rolled into one display, each asking whether Ethereum's price will be above a specific dollar level ($1,800, $1,900, or $2,000) at exactly one moment: noon Eastern Time on July 23, 2026. A Yes means ETH cleared that bar at that exact minute. A No means it did not, even if it was above that price earlier in the day or just minutes later. Only that single snapshot in time counts. The market settles based on one specific data point: the closing price of the ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance during the one-minute candle that starts at 12:00 noon Eastern Time on July 23, 2026. If that closing price is strictly higher than the target number, it resolves Yes. If it is equal to or below it, it resolves No. Importantly, only Binance's own price feed counts, not prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange, even if those show a higher number at the same moment. No relevant recent news was available for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for would include major shifts in the broader crypto market, significant Ethereum network upgrades or regulatory decisions, or large macroeconomic events that tend to move risk assets like cryptocurrencies up or down sharply. The odds tell a clear story about the current spread: the market prices $1,800 at 96%, meaning participants see that floor as very likely to hold, while $2,000 sits at only 10%, reflecting genuine doubt about a stronger recovery. The main honest uncertainty is that crypto prices can move dramatically over a year, in either direction, for reasons that are hard to foresee today. Macro conditions, regulation, and market sentiment can all shift the picture substantially between now and July 2026.

The odds right now

• 1,600100%
• 1,400100%
• 1,500100%
• 1,700100%
• 1,80097%
• 1,90066%
• 2,00011%
• 2,1001%
• 2,2000%
• 2,3000%
• 2,4000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.