Ethereum above ___ on July 27?: how this market works

What you need to know

These markets ask a simple question: will Ethereum's price be above a specific dollar amount at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 27, 2026? There are three versions, one for each price level: $1,400, $1,500, and $1,700. A Yes outcome means ETH is trading above that number at that specific moment. A No means it is at or below it. Think of it like a snapshot, not an average: only that one moment counts. Settlement is decided by one single data point: the closing price of the ETH/USDT one-minute candle at noon Eastern Time on July 27, 2026, as recorded on the Binance exchange. If that number is strictly higher than the threshold ($1,400, $1,500, or $1,700), the market resolves Yes. If it is exactly equal to or lower than the threshold, it resolves No. Only Binance's own data counts here, not prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or any other source. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching over time would include major shifts in Ethereum's network activity, broader crypto market trends, regulatory news in large economies, and macroeconomic conditions that affect risk assets generally. Ethereum is currently priced well above all three thresholds, which is why the market prices each one at around 99%. The real uncertainty here is not a close call between Yes and No. It is the small but real possibility of an extreme, unexpected event: a severe market crash, a major exchange failure, or a catastrophic technical incident that could push ETH far below current levels before July 2026. That kind of tail risk is what keeps even a 99% market from being 100%.

The odds right now

• 1,70099%
• 1,40099%
• 1,50099%
• 1,60098%
• 1,80092%
• 1,90064%
• 2,00024%
• 2,1005%
• 2,3002%
• 2,2002%
• 2,4001%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 27, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.