GPU rental prices (H200) end of July?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how much will it cost to rent one H200 GPU for one hour at the end of July 2026? The H200 is one of the most powerful AI chips available, and companies rent them by the hour to run large AI models. The brackets here are price ranges in US dollars per hour. A Yes on '$5.00-$6.00' means the hourly rental rate lands in that range on July 31, while the other brackets reflect a cheaper or more expensive outcome. The market settles based on the Ornn H200 Index, a pricing index published at dashboard.ornnai.com, using the recorded value specifically for July 31, 2026. That number is considered final once August 1's data point is published. If a price lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the rules round it up to the higher bracket. If the data is delayed, the market uses whatever the latest available number is within seven calendar days after July 31. None of the recent news provided is directly relevant to H200 GPU rental prices. The headlines cover airline fares, fuel subsidies, stock trading in South Korea, an audit scandal, and a general note from Moody's about AI shaping markets. That last item is loosely related but contains no specific data on GPU pricing. The kind of news that would matter here includes announcements about AI chip supply, major cloud provider pricing changes, or new demand shocks from large AI projects. GPU rental prices are genuinely hard to forecast because they respond to forces pulling in opposite directions. New chip supply coming to market pushes prices down, while surging demand from AI development pushes them up. The market currently leans toward the $5.00-$6.00 range at 43%, with a meaningful 31% on the cheaper bracket and 15% on the more expensive one, so this is not a settled question. The Ornn index itself is a relatively niche source, meaning fewer people are tracking it closely, which adds another layer of uncertainty.

The odds right now

• $5.00-$6.00+47.5 pts (1w)57%
• $4.00-$5.00-7.0 pts (1w)32%
• $6.00++3.1 pts (1w)7%
• $3.00-$4.00-32.1 pts (1w)6%
• $2.00-$3.00-8.8 pts (1w)1%
• <$2.00-4.1 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for July 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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