GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how much will it cost to rent a high-end AI chip, specifically an H200 GPU, on September 30, 2026? The H200 is one of the most powerful chips used to run AI models, and companies rent access to them by the hour. The price brackets here are in dollars per GPU per hour. A 'Yes' on '$6.00+' means renting one H200 for one hour costs six dollars or more. A 'Yes' on '$4.00-$4.50' means the price has fallen into that lower range. The market settles based on one specific number: the Ornn H200 Index price recorded on September 30, 2026, as shown on the dashboard at ornnai.com. That index tracks H200 GPU rental prices. Whatever bracket that single day's price falls into wins. If the price lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the higher bracket wins. The data is considered final once October 1's data point is published. If the data is delayed, the market uses whatever is available within seven days after September 30. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to H200 GPU rental prices or the AI chip market. They cover oil prices, real estate, electricity bills, auto fares, and stock indexes in India. To track this market, the developments worth watching would be: major AI chip supply announcements, new GPU models entering the rental market, large cloud providers changing their pricing, or shifts in demand from AI companies. GPU rental prices are genuinely hard to forecast more than a year out because they depend on several forces pulling in different directions. Supply could rise if Nvidia ships more H200s or if newer chips push H200 demand down. Demand could rise if AI adoption accelerates. The market is currently split across three leading brackets with no strong consensus, which itself signals real disagreement. The Ornn Index is also a relatively specialized data source, so fewer people have a clear view of where it sits right now or how it moves.

The odds right now

• $5.00-$5.5023%
• $6.00+19%
• $4.00-$4.5019%
• <$4.0017%
• $4.50-$5.0015%
• $5.50-$6.0010%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 30, 2026

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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