Highest temperature in Ankara on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple weather question: how hot will Ankara get on July 24, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport weather station. The three options, 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C, are the competing answers, and you are essentially guessing which one the thermometer hits at its peak. Think of it as picking the afternoon high on a summer day in Turkey's capital. The market settles based on the peak temperature logged by the Esenboğa Airport weather station on July 24, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. Whichever whole-degree Celsius value is the highest recorded that day wins. The reading is locked in once the first data point for July 25 appears on that site. Any corrections made before that cutoff count, but corrections after it do not. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree, so 28.7°C would count as 28°C. There is no relevant recent news provided for this market. The two headlines given are about flood relief in India and a temple trust in India, which have no connection to Ankara's weather. To follow this market meaningfully, you would want to watch weather forecasts for Ankara in the days leading up to July 24, 2026, particularly any forecasts from Turkish meteorological services or international weather agencies. Weather forecasting more than a few days out carries genuine uncertainty, and this market closes on the exact day of the event, a full year away. Even a short-range forecast can miss by a degree or two, and a single degree is exactly what separates the three options here. The airport station sits at altitude outside the city center, which can read slightly differently than downtown Ankara. The market currently leans toward 28°C at 45%, but the spread across three nearby temperatures shows real disagreement about where the needle lands.

The odds right now

• 28°C45%
• 27°C27%
• 29°C23%
• 30°C7%
• 26°C3%
• 31°C2%
• 25°C1%
• 32°C0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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