Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Chongqing get on July 24, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of that day at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport weather station. The three options are like buckets: will the peak heat land at 39°C (about 102°F), 40°C (104°F), or 41°C (106°F)? Chongqing is famously one of China's hottest summer cities, so these are all genuinely scorching but realistic possibilities for late July. The market settles on whichever temperature bucket matches the highest reading recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport on July 24, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius, so 39.7°C would count as 40°C, not 39°C. The final answer is locked in once the first data point for July 25 appears on Weather Underground. Any corrections published before that cutoff count, but corrections after it do not. No recent news relevant to Chongqing's July 24 weather was provided. The one headline given is about flood relief in a completely different region of Asia and has no connection to this market. To follow this market meaningfully, the thing to watch closer to the date would be short-range weather forecasts for Chongqing and any heat wave warnings issued by Chinese meteorological authorities. Daily peak temperatures are genuinely hard to pin down even a day in advance, let alone a year out. The market splits its weight across 39°C, 40°C, and 41°C, with no option holding a strong majority, which reflects real spread in historical Chongqing July highs. A passing cloud, a brief rain shower, or a regional heat dome can shift the peak reading by a full degree. The airport station itself may also read slightly differently from city-center stations. All three outcomes are plausible, and the gap between them is just one degree each.

The odds right now

• 40°C37%
• 39°C28%
• 38°C17%
• 41°C17%
• 37°C3%
• 42°C2%
• 36°C2%
• 35°C or below1%
• 43°C1%
• 44°C0%
• 45°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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