Highest temperature in Dallas on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Dallas get on July 24, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day, and which two-degree range it falls into. A result of 96-97°F means a very hot summer day, typical for Dallas in late July. A result of 98-99°F means it gets even hotter, closer to the edge of triple digits. Lower ranges are also possible but the market assigns them less probability. The market settles based on the peak temperature reading from Dallas Love Field Station on July 24, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. Whatever the highest single temperature is that day, whichever two-degree bucket it falls into wins. The reading is in whole-number degrees Fahrenheit only, no decimals. The market waits until the first data point from July 25 appears before finalizing, and any last-minute corrections to the July 24 data before that cutoff are still counted. No relevant weather news was provided for this market. The one headline listed appears to be unrelated to Dallas temperatures. To follow this market meaningfully, you would want to watch short-range weather forecasts for Dallas in the days leading up to July 24, 2026, particularly from the National Weather Service. Late July in Dallas is reliably hot, so the real question is just how hot. The market is fairly spread across the 94-99°F range, reflecting genuine day-to-day unpredictability even in peak summer. A passing storm could cap the high. A sustained heat dome could push it above 99°F. Weather forecasts more than a few days out carry real uncertainty, and the gap between, say, 97°F and 99°F can come down to cloud cover or wind shift on a single afternoon.

The odds right now

• 96-97°F34%
• 98-99°F25%
• 94-95°F23%
• 100-101°F9%
• 92-93°F5%
• 102-103°F3%
• 91°F or below2%
• 104-105°F1%
• 106-107°F0%
• 108-109°F0%
• 110°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.