Highest temperature in Denver on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks: what will the hottest temperature of the day be in the Denver area on July 24, 2026? The three options cover a range from 92°F to 97°F, and you are essentially picking which two-degree band the peak heat will fall into. A 'Yes' for any given range means the thermometer hit somewhere in that window and no higher during the day. It is a simple question about one number on one afternoon. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Buckley Space Force Base Station, located in Aurora just east of Denver, as logged on Weather Underground for July 24, 2026. Temperatures are rounded to whole degrees Fahrenheit. The final reading is locked in once the first data point for July 25 appears on that page. Any corrections made before that cutoff count, but corrections made after do not, even if the official record later changes. The one news item provided is dated July 23, 2026, but no specific content relevant to Denver temperatures or weather conditions was included, so there is nothing concrete to report here. The most useful thing to watch for would be local National Weather Service forecasts or any heat advisory notices for the Denver metro area issued in the hours before July 24. Weather prediction is genuinely hard even one day out, and the three leading ranges are all plausible: the market splits roughly 43%, 30%, and 24% across them, which is not a lopsided picture at all. July in Denver is hot but also prone to afternoon thunderstorms that can cap temperatures or shift them quickly. The specific station, Buckley Space Force Base, sits on open terrain east of the city, which can read differently from downtown. A small shift in cloud cover or storm timing could easily push the final number across a range boundary.

The odds right now

• 94-95°F44%
• 96-97°F31%
• 92-93°F22%
• 90-91°F4%
• 98-99°F4%
• 88-89°F1%
• 100°F or higher1%
• 84-85°F0%
• 86-87°F0%
• 81°F or below0%
• 82-83°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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