Highest temperature in Denver on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will it get in the Denver area on July 23, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day, and which 2-degree range that peak falls into. Think of it like asking whether the afternoon high will be a low-90s day, a high-80s day, or a mid-80s day. The leading range right now is 86-87°F, followed by 88-89°F, then 84-85°F. After July 23, 2026 ends, the market is settled by checking the Weather Underground record for Buckley Space Force Base Station, a weather monitoring site near Aurora, Colorado, just east of Denver. Whatever the single highest whole-number temperature reading was that day decides the winning range. One important detail: if early readings get corrected later in the day, those corrections count, but only until the first reading of July 24 is posted. After that, the number is locked in. No recent news was provided that relates to this market. Because the date is still over a year away, no relevant forecasts or weather data exist yet. The thing to watch closer to the date would be extended weather forecasts for the Denver area in late July 2026, particularly any signals about heat waves or cooler-than-normal patterns across the western United States. Late July in Denver is reliably warm, but the exact peak on any single day is genuinely hard to pin down even a few days in advance, let alone a year out. The market is spread across three ranges with no option above 60%, which reflects real uncertainty. A passing afternoon thunderstorm, a shift in wind direction, or a regional heat dome can all swing the daily high by several degrees. The station at Buckley Air Force Base also sits in a specific microclimate that may read slightly differently than central Denver.

The odds right now

• 86-87°F40%
• 88-89°F25%
• 84-85°F23%
• 90-91°F8%
• 82-83°F7%
• 80-81°F1%
• 92-93°F1%
• 78-79°F1%
• 94°F or higher1%
• 75°F or below0%
• 76-77°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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