Highest temperature in Houston on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Houston get on July 24, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know which two-degree temperature band the afternoon peak will fall into, measured at Hobby Airport. A win for '92-93°F' means the hottest moment of that day stays in that range, and so on. It is a straightforward weather question, just broken into narrow slices so people can pick the band they think fits best. At the end of July 24, 2026, the market checks Weather Underground's records for Hobby Airport (station KHOU) and finds the single highest temperature logged that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit. Whichever two-degree band contains that number wins. The market waits until the first data point for July 25 appears before settling, so late-day revisions to the July 24 reading can still count. After that cutoff, no further corrections are considered. No recent news relevant to Houston's weather on July 24, 2026 was provided. The kind of news that would matter here includes extended forecasts from the National Weather Service, regional heat advisories, or updates about unusual weather patterns over Texas in the days leading up to that date. Late July in Houston is reliably hot, which is why the top three bands cluster tightly between 90 and 95 degrees. The real uncertainty is narrow but genuine: a passing storm, an unusual Gulf breeze, or a shift in cloud cover can easily move the peak a few degrees in either direction. With the market split almost evenly between 92-93 and 94-95, even a small forecast change could shift the picture significantly. Weather is also measured at one specific airport, so local conditions elsewhere in Houston do not count.

The odds right now

• 92-93°F41%
• 94-95°F40%
• 90-91°F16%
• 96-97°F7%
• 88-89°F2%
• 98-99°F1%
• 84-85°F0%
• 86-87°F0%
• 100°F or higher0%
• 81°F or below0%
• 82-83°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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