Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 25?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 25, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia? The options are specific whole-number values in Celsius, and you are picking which one matches reality. Jeddah sits on the Red Sea coast and is one of the hottest cities on Earth in summer, so a July peak temperature somewhere in the high 30s to low 40s Celsius (roughly 102 to 107 degrees Fahrenheit) is what this is centered around. After July 25, 2026 ends, the market checks the Weather Underground website for the official reading at King Abdulaziz International Airport in Jeddah. Whatever the single highest temperature recorded that day is, in whole degrees Celsius, determines which option wins. So if the peak hits 41°C, the 41°C option resolves as the winner. The market waits until at least one data point from July 26 appears on that site before it is finalized, to allow any last corrections from July 25 to be captured. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That is normal for a weather question set more than a year in advance. What would matter closer to the date is any seasonal forecast for the Arabian Peninsula in summer 2026, or reports of unusual heat patterns in the region. Weather forecasting more than a year out is genuinely very hard. Even in a reliably hot city like Jeddah, daily peak temperatures vary by several degrees depending on wind, humidity, and regional weather systems. The market spreads its probability fairly evenly across 39°C, 40°C, and 41°C, which honestly reflects that nobody can pinpoint one number this far in advance. The coastal location also adds some unpredictability, since sea breezes can shift the peak temperature on any given day.

The odds right now

• 40°C33%
• 41°C27%
• 39°C19%
• 42°C8%
• 38°C6%
• 37°C3%
• 43°C or higher2%
• 36°C1%
• 35°C0%
• 33°C or below0%
• 34°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 25, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.