Highest temperature in Karachi on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 24, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Karachi, at one specific weather station called Masroor Airbase? The three options are 34°C (about 93°F), 35°C (about 95°F), or 36°C (about 97°F). You are not picking a range, you are picking the single highest degree reading of the whole day. The market currently puts 34°C as the most likely outcome, with 35°C close behind, and 36°C as a smaller but real possibility. The market settles based on the peak temperature logged at Masroor Airbase Station on July 24, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. Whatever the single highest whole-number Celsius reading is that day, whichever option contains that number wins. The market cannot close until the first data point from July 25 appears on that page, confirming the previous day is complete. One important detail: if Weather Underground revises the temperature before that July 25 data point appears, the revision counts. After that cutoff, no corrections matter. There is no specific recent news available for this market. For a weather market like this, the things worth watching closer to the date would be seasonal forecasts for Karachi in late July, any unusual heat-wave warnings from Pakistani meteorological services, or updates to long-range weather models covering that region. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market closes over a year from now. Late July in Karachi is peak monsoon-adjacent season, which means humidity and cloud cover can suppress or amplify peak temperatures in ways that are difficult to model far in advance. The margin between the three options is just one degree each, so even a small forecasting error tips the result. The market currently leans toward 34°C, but 35°C is close enough that the outcome is far from settled.

The odds right now

• 34°C44%
• 35°C34%
• 33°C12%
• 36°C11%
• 37°C2%
• 32°C2%
• 31°C1%
• 38°C1%
• 30°C0%
• 29°C or below0%
• 39°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.