Highest temperature in Karachi on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will be the single hottest temperature reading in Karachi on July 23, 2026? One specific weather station, Masroor Airbase, will record temperatures throughout that day, and whatever the peak reading is determines the outcome. The three options, 33°C, 34°C, and 35°C, represent different possible highs. To put those numbers in physical terms: 33°C is about 91°F, 34°C is about 93°F, and 35°C is about 95°F, all hot but meaningfully different in a city where July heat matters. The market settles based on the highest single temperature logged at the Masroor Airbase weather station on July 23, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius, so a reading of 34.7°C would count as 35°C. One important detail: the result is locked in once the first data point for July 24 appears on the site. Any temperature corrections made after that cutoff are ignored, even if the official record later changes. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a seasonal forecast for Karachi's July 2026 weather, or any early outlook on whether monsoon patterns or heat waves are expected to shift temperatures above or below the city's typical July range. July weather in Karachi is genuinely hard to pin down a year in advance. The city sits on the Arabian Sea coast, so sea breezes, monsoon timing, and humidity all push the daily high around in ways that even short-range forecasts struggle to capture. The market spreads its probability across just a few degrees, which reflects real uncertainty: a single cloudy afternoon or an earlier-than-usual sea breeze can easily shift the peak by one degree. One station's single-day reading is an especially precise target.

The odds right now

• 34°C44%
• 35°C38%
• 33°C11%
• 36°C10%
• 32°C2%
• 38°C1%
• 37°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 39°C or higher0%
• 29°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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