Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks: exactly how hot will it get in Qingdao, China on July 24, 2026? Specifically, it tracks the single highest temperature recorded that day at Qingdao's Jiaodong International Airport weather station. The options are specific degree values in Celsius, and you are picking which one the thermometer will actually hit at its peak. A win for '30°C' means the hottest moment of that day lands at exactly 30 degrees Celsius, not 29, not 31. The market settles based on the peak temperature logged on Weather Underground for the Qingdao Jiaodong Airport station on July 24, 2026, measured in whole degrees Celsius. Whatever the single highest reading is that day determines the winning option. The market cannot officially close until the first data point from July 25 appears on that page, giving any late revisions to July 24 readings a chance to be counted first. After that cutoff, no further corrections are considered. No relevant news was provided for this market. The one headline available is about flood relief in the Assam region of India, which has no connection to weather in Qingdao. To follow this market meaningfully, the useful things to watch would be extended weather forecasts for Qingdao in mid-to-late July 2026, and any signals about regional heat patterns over eastern China as the date approaches. Weather is genuinely hard to forecast more than a few days out, and this market is asking for an exact degree, not just a general range. The spread across 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C reflects that. Late July in Qingdao is warm and humid, but daily highs vary based on cloud cover, sea breezes off the Yellow Sea, and passing weather systems that are impossible to predict months in advance. Even professional forecasters rarely nail a single-degree outcome weeks ahead, which is why probability is spread across several nearby options.

The odds right now

• 30°C30%
• 29°C24%
• 31°C23%
• 32°C14%
• 28°C11%
• 27°C3%
• 33°C or higher2%
• 26°C1%
• 23°C or below0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.