Highest temperature in Singapore on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 24, 2026, what will the single highest temperature of the day be at Singapore's Changi Airport weather station? The three options are 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C, and you are picking which one that peak reading lands on. To put it in physical terms, 32°C feels like a hot, humid afternoon where you are sweating the moment you step outside, around 90°F. The market currently thinks 32°C is the most likely outcome, at 45%. The market settles on whichever temperature bucket matches the single highest reading recorded at Changi Airport on July 24, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website for that station. The temperature is rounded to a whole number in Celsius, so there are no fractions involved. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 25 appears on that site. Any corrections to the July 24 data made before that cutoff count, but corrections made after it do not. None of the provided recent headlines relate to Singapore weather or climate conditions around July 24. No relevant weather news was provided. The kind of development that would actually matter here is a seasonal forecast or a notable weather pattern, such as an unusual heat event or monsoon activity, affecting Singapore in late July. Singapore's daily high temperature in late July is fairly consistent from year to year, which is why the market clusters tightly around 31 to 33°C rather than spreading wide. The real difficulty is that a single degree makes all the difference between outcomes, and daily highs can shift by exactly that margin based on cloud cover, a passing rain shower, or the timing of afternoon sun. Weather is ultimately governed by physical conditions that no forecast can pin down precisely a year in advance.

The odds right now

• 32°C42%
• 31°C37%
• 33°C14%
• 30°C8%
• 29°C3%
• 34°C1%
• 28°C1%
• 35°C or higher0%
• 25°C or below0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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