Highest temperature in Singapore on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 23, 2026, what will be the hottest temperature of the day at Singapore's Changi Airport weather station? The three options are 30°C, 31°C, or 32°C, and you are picking which one the thermometer peaks at. To give that a physical feel: 31°C is a hot, humid afternoon, about 88°F; 32°C is noticeably hotter, around 90°F; 30°C is still warm but a touch cooler, around 86°F. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading logged at Changi Airport on July 23, 2026, pulled from the Weather Underground website. Temperatures are rounded to whole degrees Celsius, so a reading of 31.7°C would count as 31°C, not 32°C. The market waits until the first data point from July 24 appears on that site before it is finalized. Any corrections posted before that cutoff count; corrections made after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a seasonal weather forecast for Singapore in late July 2026, or data showing unusual sea-surface temperatures in the region that might push conditions warmer or cooler than normal. Singapore sits near the equator, so late July temperatures are fairly consistent year to year, which is why the market is not a total coin toss. But daily highs still vary meaningfully depending on cloud cover, rain, and wind on that specific day. The gap between 31°C and 32°C is just one degree, which is well within normal day-to-day variation. The market currently favors 31°C at 46%, with real weight on both neighboring options, reflecting genuine spread across a narrow but meaningful range.

The odds right now

• 31°C45%
• 32°C30%
• 30°C19%
• 33°C5%
• 29°C3%
• 28°C2%
• 34°C1%
• 27°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 35°C or higher0%
• 25°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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