Lowest temperature in London on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how cold will London get overnight on July 24, 2026? Specifically, it wants the single lowest temperature reading of the whole day, rounded to a whole number in Celsius, at one specific weather station near London City Airport. A result of 19°C would mean a warm summer night; 17°C would feel noticeably cooler. Think of it as: how chilly does London get at its coldest point that day? The market settles on whichever temperature bucket matches the lowest Celsius reading recorded at London City Airport (station code EGLC) on July 24, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. The reading is rounded to a whole degree, so 18.7°C would count as 18°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 25 appears on that site. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. The provided news headlines are all about an Irish political visit to Ukraine and have no connection to London weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of update that would matter is a weather forecast for London around July 24, 2026, or any unusual heat or cold pattern affecting the UK that week. July in London typically stays mild overnight, which is why the odds cluster around 17-19°C, but daily lows can shift meaningfully based on cloud cover, wind direction, and whether a cooler Atlantic air mass moves in. The spread across multiple temperature options reflects genuine forecasting difficulty even a day out. One weather station can also read slightly differently from surrounding areas. Since this resolves on a single precise reading at one location, even small atmospheric changes matter a lot.

The odds right now

• 19°C31%
• 18°C26%
• 20°C23%
• 17°C10%
• 21°C8%
• 16°C4%
• 15°C1%
• 14°C1%
• 22°C0%
• 13°C or below0%
• 23°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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