MLB: AL Manager of the Year: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which manager in the American League will win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year award, a prize given by the Baseball Writers' Association of America each fall to the best manager in the league that season. A 'Yes' on any named manager means that person wins the award. Will Venable is currently the market favorite at 43%, with Kevin Cash at 14% and Craig Albernaz at 5%, and the remaining probability sits on someone not listed. The market settles on whoever MLB officially names as the 2026 AL Manager of the Year, which is typically announced in November after the season ends. The deadline for a result is December 31, 2026. If no winner is declared by then, or if the season is cancelled or runs past that date, the market resolves to 'Other.' In the rare case of a tie with multiple winners, the manager whose last name comes first alphabetically would be the answer here. None of the provided news headlines relate to MLB, the 2026 season, or any of the managers listed. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of developments worth watching would be team standings, injury news affecting a manager's roster, or mid-season managerial changes in the American League. This award depends on how an entire season plays out, and it is only late July or early August, meaning most of the season is still being played. Manager of the Year voting is heavily tied to how well a team overperforms expectations, so a team's final record and injuries matter enormously. The fact that roughly 38% of the market probability sits on managers not even listed shows real uncertainty about who the contenders will be by November.

The odds right now

• Will Venable-3.3 pts (1w)42%
• Kevin Cash-13.0 pts (1w)14%
• John Schneider-0.3 pts (1w)5%
• Craig Albernaz-0.5 pts (1w)5%
• Joe Espada-0.3 pts (1w)5%
• Aaron Boone+0.2 pts (1w)4%
• Stephen Vogt+0.1 pts (1w)4%
• Mark Kotsay-0.1 pts (1w)3%
• Derek Shelton-3.9 pts (1w)3%
• Dan Wilson2%
• Skip Schumaker+0.5 pts (1w)2%
• A.J. Hinch+0.5 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 19, 2026

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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