NYC Mayor # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking how many times the Mayor of New York City, Zohran Mamdani, posts on X (formerly Twitter) during one specific week. The three possible outcomes are: a low week of 20 to 39 posts, a moderate week of 40 to 59 posts, or a busy week of 60 to 79 posts. It is essentially a question about how active the mayor is on social media during that seven-day window. The market settles based on a post-counting tool at xtracker.polymarket.com, which tracks the @NYCMayor account from July 21 at noon ET to July 28 at noon ET. Original posts, reposts, and quote posts all count. Replies do not count, unless they appear on the main feed. One important detail: even deleted posts count, as long as they were captured by the tracker within about five minutes of being posted. None of the provided news headlines relate directly to Mayor Mamdani's X posting activity. One headline does mention a Legionnaires' disease cluster in New York City, which is the kind of local emergency that could prompt a mayor to post more actively on social media. Beyond that, there is no direct news here about his social media behavior this week. The main challenge is that one person's posting habits in a single week can shift for many reasons: a news crisis, a big policy announcement, travel, or simply a quieter period. The market currently places the most weight on 40 to 59 posts, but the 20 to 39 range still holds significant probability. There is no strong public data on how consistently Mayor Mamdani posts each week, so past patterns are the main guide, and one unusual week can easily break them.

The odds right now

• 40-5962%
• 20-3934%
• 60-796%
• 80-990%
• 100-1190%
• 120-1390%
• <200%
• 140-1590%
• 160-1790%
• 180-1990%
• 200+0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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