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# of views of MrBeast video day 2?: how this market works

56%cultureUpdated 5 min ago

What you need to know

This market asks how many times people will watch a specific MrBeast video in its first two days on YouTube. The video is called 'We Helped 100 Kids Fight Cancer,' and the question is whether it lands between 20 and 21 million views, 21 and 22 million, or 22 and 23 million by the 48-hour mark. It is purely a counting question: how big is the audience in that opening window? After exactly 48 hours from when the video was posted, whoever runs this market checks the public view counter on MrBeast's YouTube channel for that specific video. Whichever range the number falls into wins. The market waits the full 48 hours even if the count crosses a threshold early. Only the linked video counts, not Shorts or other uploads. If the count lands exactly on a boundary between two ranges, it resolves to the higher one. No recent news was provided that relates to this market. The type of development that would matter most here is any signal about how the video is performing early, such as a trending spike, a viral share on social media, or commentary from large creators pointing their audiences to it. MrBeast videos almost always pull enormous early traffic, but predicting the exact range within a few million views is genuinely difficult. Day-two momentum depends on things no one fully controls: whether the algorithm promotes it heavily, whether the topic resonates emotionally at that moment, and whether other viral content competes for attention that week. The market currently splits its weight between 20-21M and 21-22M, so even participants most familiar with his channel see real uncertainty in that narrow band.

The odds right now

  • 20–21M56%
  • 21–22M45%
  • 23M+11%
  • 22–23M11%
  • 19–20M4%
  • 18–19M2%
  • <18M0%

Price history

20–21M

56%+7.5%

How this resolves

Resolves July 27, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

  • 20–21M56%
  • 21–22M45%
  • 23M+11%
  • 22–23M11%
  • 19–20M4%
  • 18–19M2%
  • <18M0%

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

On a trade of
Paridesk0.5%
$0.25
MetaMask Predictions4%
$2.00
Jupiter Predictmatches the exchange fee
~$1.00 to $2.00

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

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