Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which party will finish in second place, by number of seats, in the Sachsen-Anhalt state parliament election in September 2026. Sachsen-Anhalt is a state in eastern Germany, and its parliament is called the Landtag. A Yes for CDU means CDU comes in second, behind whoever wins first place. The market is not asking who wins the election overall, just who earns the runner-up position in seats. The market settles on whichever named party holds the second-highest seat count in the Landtag after votes are counted on September 6, 2026. If two parties tie on seats, the one with more total second votes wins the tiebreak. The official Landtag website is the final source if any dispute arises. One edge case worth knowing: if the election does not happen at all by January 31, 2027, the market resolves to a catch-all option called 'Other', not to any named party. None of the provided news headlines relate to this market. They cover Indian parliamentary proceedings, Gulf economics, and other unrelated topics. To follow this market meaningfully, the developments worth watching would be German state-level polling for Sachsen-Anhalt, shifts in AfD or SPD support in eastern Germany, and any major CDU political news in the months before the September 2026 vote. The market is heavily lopsided, with CDU priced at 93% for second place. At that level, the main honest uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected disrupts that outcome, not a genuine competition between two equal sides. The AfD has historically polled very strongly in eastern German states, including Sachsen-Anhalt, which is why it appears here at all. Polling can shift over a year, and eastern German electorates have surprised forecasters before. But the market currently treats a CDU second-place finish as the strong baseline.

The odds right now

• CDU+1.0 pts (1w)93%
• The Left-0.4 pts (1w)4%
• AfD+0.1 pts (1w)2%
• The Greens+0.4 pts (1w)2%
• FDP-0.5 pts (1w)1%
• SPD0%
• BSW0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 6, 2026

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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