Solana above ___ on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple price question: will Solana (SOL) be trading above $80 at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 23, 2026? A Yes means SOL's price is higher than $80 at that moment. A No means it is at $80 or below. The $80 level matters because it is a specific threshold, not a vague range. Right now, the market puts the chance of that happening at only about 19%, meaning most participants currently expect SOL to be below $80 at that time. Settlement is decided by one single data point: the closing price of the SOL/USDT trading pair on Binance during the one-minute candle that starts at noon Eastern Time on July 23, 2026. If that closing price is strictly higher than $80.00, the market resolves Yes. If it is exactly $80.00 or any amount below, it resolves No. Only Binance's own data counts here, not prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. One minute, one exchange, one number. No specific recent news was provided for this market. In general, the things worth watching for a crypto price question like this are major regulatory announcements, broad market shifts in Bitcoin (which tends to pull the whole crypto market), and any Solana-specific developments around its network usage or ecosystem growth. Those are the kinds of events that historically move SOL's price significantly. Crypto prices are genuinely hard to predict over a year-long horizon, and that is the core challenge here. Solana's price has moved dramatically in both directions over past 12-month windows. The deadline is more than a year away, which means macroeconomic shifts, regulatory changes, new competitors, or broad crypto market cycles could all reshape the picture entirely. The current 19% odds reflect skepticism about SOL reaching $80, but a lot can change in that time, in either direction.

The odds right now

• 30100%
• 40100%
• 50100%
• 60100%
• 7099%
• 808%
• 900%
• 1000%
• 1100%
• 1200%
• 1300%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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