← Markets

"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes): how this market works

44%cultureUpdated just now

What you need to know

This market is asking how much money the film 'The Odyssey' earns at domestic movie theaters between its opening day (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026. That total ticket revenue is called the domestic gross. The three brackets here all sit in a high range: $530-550 million, $550-570 million, or above $570 million. So this is not a question of whether the film does well, but of exactly how well it does within an already-strong performance zone. The market settles using the final daily box office numbers listed on The Numbers website, covering every day from July 17 through August 31, 2026. Once those numbers are confirmed as final (not just studio estimates), the total is compared to the brackets and the matching one resolves as Yes. If the total falls exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket wins. If the data is not finalized by September 30, 2026, the organizers will choose another trusted box office source. No relevant news was provided for this market. The two headlines listed are unrelated to the film or box office. The kinds of developments worth watching for would be early opening-weekend ticket sales, critic reviews, audience scores, and any competing blockbusters releasing in the same window. The film has not yet opened, so there is no actual box office data to go on yet. Opening-weekend performance is famously hard to predict: audience enthusiasm, critic reception, word of mouth, weather, and competing films all play a role. The spread of odds across three high brackets (40%, 25%, 24%) shows real disagreement. The market leans toward the lowest of the three high brackets, but a quarter of the weight sits above $570 million, meaning a genuine blockbuster outcome is still very much in play.

The odds right now

  • 550 - 570m+6.0 pts (1w)44%
  • 530 - 550m-8.5 pts (1w)34%
  • 570m+-15.5 pts (1w)22%
  • 510 - 530m-31.1 pts (1w)5%
  • 490 - 510m-34.3 pts (1w)2%
  • <490m-30.0 pts (1w)1%

Price history

550 - 570m

44%+2.0%

How this resolves

Resolves August 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

  • 550 - 570m44%
  • 530 - 550m34%
  • 570m+22%
  • 510 - 530m5%
  • 490 - 510m2%
  • <490m1%

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

On a trade of
Paridesk0.5%
$0.25
MetaMask Predictions4%
$2.00
Jupiter Predictmatches the exchange fee
~$1.00 to $2.00

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.

View & trade →