WA-01 House Election Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which party will win the congressional seat representing Washington's 1st district in the 2026 midterm elections. A Yes for Democrats means a Democrat wins that House seat; a Yes for Republicans means a Republican wins it. WA-01 covers parts of the Seattle suburbs and the Puget Sound region, and it has leaned Democratic in recent election cycles. The market settles based on who wins the WA-01 House race on November 3, 2026. The winner's party is determined by how they are listed on the ballot, or by which party they intend to caucus with if no ballot label exists. The primary source is credible news reporting; if results are disputed or unclear, the Federal Election Commission's official numbers are the final word. No news specific to the WA-01 race was provided. The headlines given are about national Democratic Party strategy and unrelated topics. The kind of news that would matter here includes candidate announcements for WA-01, local polling, or major endorsements in that specific district. The market is priced heavily toward Democrats at 92%, so this is not a close call by current odds. The main uncertainty is not two equal competing forces but rather whether something unexpected shifts the race: a strong Republican recruit, a national political wave, a Democratic incumbent stumbling, or a surprising primary result. At this lopsided a price, the honest question is simply how likely a genuine surprise is.

The odds right now

• Democratic Party-2.0 pts (1w)92%
• Republican Party3%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves November 3, 2026

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.