What price will Bitcoin hit on July 21?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch specific price levels at any moment during July 21, 2026. There are actually three separate questions bundled here: will Bitcoin reach $66,000, will it reach $65,000 (from below), and will it reach $67,000? Each one resolves independently. A Yes means Bitcoin touched that price level at least once during the day. A No means it stayed on the wrong side of that line for the entire day. Each price level resolves Yes if, at any single minute during July 21 (midnight to 11:59 PM Eastern Time), Bitcoin's price on Binance's BTC/USDT pair touches or crosses the target number. For the $66,000 and $67,000 markets, the relevant price is the minute's high point. For the $65,000 market, it is the minute's low point. Only Binance data counts. Other exchanges are ignored, even if they show a different price. None of the provided news headlines are directly relevant to Bitcoin's price on July 21. The articles cover Asian cybercrime losses, gold and silver retail rates in India, and electric vehicle sales. There are no Bitcoin-specific updates in the feed. To track this market, the most relevant things to watch would be any major crypto news, regulatory announcements, or broad financial market moves on that specific day. Bitcoin can swing thousands of dollars in a single day, which makes these thresholds genuinely hard to call. The $65,000 level carries 50/50 odds, meaning the market sees real uncertainty about how far down Bitcoin might dip. The $66,000 level at 79% suggests it is more likely touched than not, but one unexpected macro event or large sell-off could change everything. Bitcoin's intraday volatility means even a strong morning can reverse sharply, and a single minute of data is all it takes to flip the outcome.

The odds right now

• ↑ 67,00085%
• ↑ 68,00022%
• ↓ 65,0007%
• ↑ 69,0004%
• ↓ 64,0002%
• ↑ 70,0001%
• ↓ 63,0001%
• ↑ 71,0000%
• ↓ 62,0000%
• ↓ 61,0000%
• ↓ 60,0000%
• ↑ 73,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.