What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in July 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether NVIDIA's stock price will reach specific dollar levels at any moment during July 2026. There are three separate price targets being tracked: $216, $184, and $224. Each one is its own Yes or No question. Yes means NVIDIA's stock touched that price at least once during a regular trading session in July 2026. No means it never did. Think of it like asking whether a thermometer ever hit a certain temperature on any single day in a month. Each price target resolves Yes if NVIDIA's stock price reaches that exact level or beyond, even for a single minute, during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) on any day in July 2026. The price data comes from a service called Pyth, which records one-minute price snapshots. For the $216 and $224 targets, the stock needs to touch or exceed that price. For the $184 target, the stock needs to drop to or below that price. If NVIDIA does a stock split, the target prices adjust automatically to match. The most recent news points to continued strong demand for NVIDIA's AI computing products. Bristol Myers Squibb just purchased NVIDIA's latest AI system for drug research, and a major data center company signed a nearly $10 billion AI infrastructure deal. A general industry headline also notes that chipmakers are expecting large profit gains. These stories suggest the AI hardware market around NVIDIA remains active, but they do not tell us specifically where the stock price will sit in July 2026. NVIDIA's stock price in July 2026 depends on a wide mix of factors that are genuinely hard to forecast: overall market conditions, quarterly earnings results, competition from other chipmakers, global trade policy, and shifts in AI spending by big tech companies. The market currently prices the $216 upside target at 48%, the $224 upside target at 19%, and the $184 downside target at 20%. That spread tells you participants see meaningful uncertainty in both directions, which honestly reflects how much can change for a single stock over more than a year.

The odds right now

• ↑ $216-14.0 pts (1w)38%
• ↓ $184-3.0 pts (1w)23%
• ↑ $224-12.5 pts (1w)13%
• ↓ $176-4.3 pts (1w)7%
• ↓ $168+2.3 pts (1w)6%
• ↑ $232-11.0 pts (1w)6%
• ↑ $240-7.1 pts (1w)3%
• ↑ $248+0.3 pts (1w)3%
• ↓ $160+0.1 pts (1w)2%
• ↓ $152+0.1 pts (1w)1%
• ↑ $256-0.3 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during July 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.