What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking which specific movie will land in the second spot on Netflix's official global popularity chart for English-language films during one particular week. A win for 'A Toxic Love Story' means that film was watched more globally than every other English Netflix movie except the #1 title. A win for '72 Hours' means it beat everything else for second place. It is purely about that single week's viewing numbers, not overall popularity or critical reception. Netflix publishes its weekly global Top 10 list on top10.netflix.com, usually on Tuesdays. This market settles based on whichever English-language movie Netflix officially lists as #2 in the update expected on July 28, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET. The viewership counted is from the Monday-to-Sunday week before that update. One important edge case: if Netflix does not publish that update by July 31, 2026, the market resolves as 'Other', regardless of which films were actually popular. None of the provided news headlines relate to Netflix, streaming viewership, or the films listed in this market. There is no recent reporting here to draw on. The kind of news that would matter is a Netflix viewership announcement, a major new film release on the platform, or any buzz around 'A Toxic Love Story' or '72 Hours' specifically driving people to watch. Weekly streaming rankings can shift quickly and unpredictably. A single viral moment, a social media trend, or a major new release pushing other films down can change the order by the time the data is counted. The market prices 'A Toxic Love Story' at around 45% and '72 Hours' at 36%, so neither is a clear favourite. Neither title is a widely known property with obvious built-in audience data, which makes viewership harder to anticipate than, say, a blockbuster sequel.

The odds right now

• 72 Hours49%
• A Toxic Love Story42%
• The Boss Baby3%
• Wicked: For Good3%
• Scream2%
• Voicemails for Isabelle1%
• Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea0%
• KPop Demon Hunters0%
• Enola Holmes 30%
• The Body in the Locker0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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