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What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?: how this market works

75%cultureUpdated 1 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: when Netflix publishes its weekly global chart, which show will land in the second spot? A 'Yes' for any listed title means that specific show finished second in worldwide viewing for English-language TV that week. It is not about which show is best or most talked-about, just raw numbers: how many total views did each show collect globally across one week. Netflix updates its public Top 10 list at top10.netflix.com every Tuesday, and the result expected on July 28, 2026 will settle this market. Whichever English-language TV show Netflix officially lists as #2 in global views for that week wins. One important edge case: if Netflix does not publish that update by July 31, 2026, the market does not pick a winner from the list. It resolves as 'Other' instead, regardless of what any other source reports. None of the provided recent news headlines relate to Netflix viewership, chart performance, or the shows listed in this market. There is nothing useful to report from the given headlines. The kind of news that would matter here is early viewership data, Netflix social media buzz, or any official chart leaks pointing to which show is pulling the most views in the days before the Tuesday update. The main uncertainty is that weekly Netflix rankings can shift quickly, and viewership numbers are private until Netflix publishes them. The market strongly favors 'The Hawk: Season 1' at 74%, so the crowd sees it as the clear frontrunner, but second place is genuinely competitive. A new episode drop, a viral moment, or simple word-of-mouth can swing millions of views in a single week. Nobody outside Netflix sees the live data, so even confident-looking odds here are educated guesses.

The odds right now

  • The Hawk: Season 175%
  • I Will Find You: Limited Series14%
  • Ransom Canyon: Season 211%
  • Little House on the Prairie: Season 12%
  • The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 42%
  • WWE: Unreal: Season 31%
  • Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 21%
  • Sesame Street Classics: Season 11%
  • Quarterback: Season 31%
  • Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 10%

Price history

The Hawk: Season 1

75%+29.5%

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

  • The Hawk: Season 175%
  • I Will Find You: Limited Series14%
  • Ransom Canyon: Season 211%
  • Little House on the Prairie: Season 12%
  • The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 42%
  • WWE: Unreal: Season 31%
  • Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 21%
  • Sesame Street Classics: Season 11%
  • See all 10 outcomes →

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