What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking which specific show will sit in the number two spot on Netflix's official global popularity chart for the week ending around August 3, 2026. A Yes for a given show means it finishes second in total views worldwide among English-language TV shows. Second place matters here because the top spot is presumably taken, and this question is purely about who finishes right behind it. Netflix publishes its official Top 10 list every Tuesday at top10.netflix.com, and the August 4, 2026 update is the one that counts here. Whichever English-language TV show Netflix lists as number two on that page wins the market. If two shows somehow tie in rank, the tiebreaker is alphabetical order by title. One important edge case: if Netflix does not publish that update by August 7, 2026 at midnight, the market settles as 'Other' regardless of what any show is doing. None of the provided news headlines relate to Netflix viewership, streaming trends, or the shows listed in this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is any Netflix announcement about a major new release or a viewership milestone for 'Ransom Canyon: Season 2' or the other listed shows. The main uncertainty is simply that streaming charts can shift quickly and unpredictably week to week. The market prices 'Ransom Canyon: Season 2' at 74%, meaning participants collectively lean strongly toward it, but a surprise hit, a competing new release, or an unexpected surge in another show could change things. The 'Other' category also captures any show not individually listed here, which is a real possibility if an unlisted title performs well.

The odds right now

• Ransom Canyon: Season 271%
• The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series25%
• I Will Find You: Limited Series3%
• The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare2%
• Hannibal: Season 12%
• My Daughter's Father: Season 12%
• Little House on the Prairie: Season 11%
• The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 41%
• Elite Force: Season 10%
• The Hawk: Season 10%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 4, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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