What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: out of all the movies streaming on Netflix in the US next week, which one will land in the number two spot by total views? A 'Yes' for a given title means that movie finishes second on Netflix's official weekly chart, not first and not third. The market has three named candidates, and anything outside those three falls under an implied 'Other' category. Netflix publishes its official US Top 10 movies list every Tuesday at top10.netflix.com, and the update expected on July 28, 2026 will settle this market. Whichever movie Netflix lists as number two, based on total US views from the prior Monday through Sunday, is the winner. One important edge case: if Netflix does not publish that update by July 31, 2026, the market does not resolve to any movie title. It resolves to 'Other' instead, regardless of what anyone expects. None of the provided news headlines relate to Netflix viewership, streaming trends, or any of the three named films. There is no relevant recent information to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is any news about a major new Netflix release, a viral movie moment, or Netflix publishing early viewership data for the relevant week. Weekly streaming rankings can shift quickly and without much warning. A single viral moment, a celebrity post, or a surprise new release can move millions of views in days. The market currently prices '72 Hours' as the clear frontrunner at 62%, but second place is genuinely competitive. Viewership data for this specific week is not yet public, so anyone participating is making a judgment call with incomplete information. The outcome depends entirely on what real people choose to watch, which is hard for anyone to forecast with confidence.

The odds right now

• 72 Hours64%
• A Toxic Love Story25%
• Scream2%
• The Body in the Locker1%
• Voicemails for Isabelle1%
• The Boss Baby1%
• Wicked: For Good1%
• Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea1%
• Desire1%
• KPop Demon Hunters1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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