What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple pop-culture question: which show will sit at the number two spot on Netflix's official US Top 10 TV list for a specific week in late July 2026. A Yes vote for any option means you think that show finishes second in total US views that week. It is not about quality or critical praise, just raw viewership numbers as counted and published by Netflix itself. Netflix publishes its weekly Top 10 list at top10.netflix.com every Tuesday around 3:00 PM Eastern Time. The market settles based on whichever show appears in the number two position on the update expected July 28, 2026, covering viewership from the Monday-to-Sunday week before it. If Netflix does not post that update by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern, the market resolves as 'Other' regardless of what any show actually earned. None of the provided news headlines relate to Netflix viewership, the shows listed, or anything that would shift how this market might settle. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of update worth watching for would be Netflix releasing early viewership signals, trailers going viral, or a show getting a big cultural moment in the days leading up to that week. The market is heavily lopsided, with Ransom Canyon: Season 2 priced at 90%. At that level, the main uncertainty is not really a close race between options. It is simply whether something unexpected disrupts the frontrunner, such as a surprise hit debut, a viral moment for another show, or a data quirk in how Netflix counts views. The show ranked first that week also matters, since the number two slot depends on who finishes above it too.

The odds right now

• Ransom Canyon: Season 291%
• WWE: Unreal: Season 34%
• Sesame Street Classics: Season 14%
• The Hawk: Season 13%
• The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 43%
• I Will Find You: Limited Series3%
• Little House on the Prairie: Season 11%
• Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 11%
• Quarterback: Season 31%
• Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 20%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.