What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking which specific movie will sit at the number one spot on Netflix's official global popularity chart for a given week. A win for '72 Hours' means that film got more views worldwide than any other English-language movie on Netflix that week. A win for 'A Toxic Love Story' means that one topped the chart instead. The other listed titles are long shots, and 'Other' would mean a film not listed here came in first. The answer comes directly from Netflix's own published data at top10.netflix.com, updated on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 around 3:00 PM Eastern Time. Whatever movie Netflix officially ranks as the number one English-language film globally for that week's viewing period wins the market. One important edge case: if Netflix does not publish that update by July 31, 2026, the market automatically settles as 'Other', regardless of what was actually watched. None of the recent news provided connects to this market. The headlines cover unrelated topics like comics sales, fraud alerts, and political news. There is no recent reporting here about '72 Hours', 'A Toxic Love Story', or any Netflix viewership data. The kind of news that would actually matter here would be reviews, social media buzz, or early streaming numbers for these specific films. The main challenge is that Netflix viewership data for a given week is not public until Netflix publishes it, so there is no reliable way to track the race in real time. Word-of-mouth momentum, algorithm-driven recommendations, and social media virality can shift viewing numbers quickly and unpredictably. The market currently favors '72 Hours' at 51% and 'A Toxic Love Story' at 40%, meaning participants see this as genuinely competitive rather than a clear frontrunner situation.

The odds right now

• 72 Hours62%
• A Toxic Love Story40%
• Wicked: For Good1%
• The Boss Baby0%
• Voicemails for Isabelle0%
• The Body in the Locker0%
• KPop Demon Hunters0%
• Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea0%
• Enola Holmes 30%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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