What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: which movie will be the most-watched on Netflix across the entire world for a specific week? A Yes on '72 Hours' means that film finishes at number one globally in total views. A No means something else beats it. Only English-language movies count here, so foreign-language hits like a Korean or Spanish film would not be included in the ranking this market tracks. Netflix publishes its official weekly Top 10 list every Tuesday at top10.netflix.com, and this market settles based on whichever English-language movie sits at number one on August 4, 2026. If two movies somehow tie, the one that comes first alphabetically wins. One important edge case: if Netflix does not update the list by August 7, the market automatically resolves as 'Other', regardless of what any unofficial source reports. None of the provided news headlines relate to Netflix, movies, or streaming viewership. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development worth watching for would be a major Netflix film release in late July or early August 2026, or any news about '72 Hours' specifically, such as its release date or early audience reception. The market prices '72 Hours' at 98%, which is extremely high, suggesting most participants already expect it to top the chart. At that level, the main remaining uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected happens: a surprise hit outperforms it, Netflix delays its update, or the data comes in differently than anticipated. This is not a genuinely contested race right now according to the market, but upsets do occasionally happen in entertainment viewership.

The odds right now

• 72 Hours98%
• Ordinary Angels1%
• Sniper: No Nation1%
• Elize: Shadows of a Woman1%
• Voicemails for Isabelle1%
• Minions1%
• KPop Demon Hunters1%
• A Quiet Place: Day One0%
• A Toxic Love Story0%
• Furious 70%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 4, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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