What will be the top global Netflix show this week?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple question: which Netflix show will have the most views worldwide in a specific week? A 'Yes' for Ransom Canyon: Season 2 means that show beat every other English-language Netflix TV show in total global views that week. A 'Yes' for The Hawk or I Will Find You means one of those surprised everyone and came out on top instead. Only one show can win the top spot. Netflix publishes a weekly chart at top10.netflix.com every Tuesday, and this market settles based on whatever show sits at number one in the English TV category on July 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. That ranking counts views from the Monday-to-Sunday week before. The market uses only that one update as its source of truth. There is one important edge case: if Netflix does not publish the update by July 31, 2026, the market settles as 'Other' regardless of what any other source reports. None of the provided news headlines relate to Netflix viewership, show releases, or the specific titles in this market. The headlines cover unrelated topics like finance, AI policy, and extradition news. To follow this market, the most useful things to watch for would be Netflix announcements about new episode drops for these shows, or early social media buzz signaling which title is capturing the most audience attention that week. The main uncertainty here is whether Ransom Canyon Season 2 holds its strong lead or gets upset. The market prices it at 80%, meaning participants collectively think it is the heavy favorite, but weekly Netflix rankings can shift quickly when a new show drops or a competitor gets a sudden boost from word-of-mouth. Viewership data is not public until the official update, so nobody knows the real numbers in advance. The modest but real odds on the other two titles reflect that surprises do happen.

The odds right now

• Ransom Canyon: Season 281%
• The Hawk: Season 112%
• I Will Find You: Limited Series10%
• The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 42%
• Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 22%
• Little House on the Prairie: Season 10%
• Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 10%
• WWE: Unreal: Season 30%
• Quarterback: Season 30%
• Sesame Street Classics: Season 10%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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