What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking which specific words or topics Trump will mention out loud during one particular cabinet meeting on July 31, 2026. Each option is its own yes/no question: will he say 'Venezuela'? Will he say 'Russia'? Will he use words like 'million,' 'billion,' or 'trillion' at least 30 times? A Yes means he clearly said that word or phrase during that meeting. A No means he did not. Resolvers will listen to the audio or video of the July 31, 2026 cabinet meeting and check whether each listed word was spoken. The meeting must be aired by August 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time. If the meeting is cancelled or never broadcast, every word option resolves No, and a special bracket called 'No Qualifying Event' resolves Yes instead. Only words said inside this specific meeting count, not anything Trump says elsewhere that day. The recent news suggests Iran, Ukraine, and Russia are active topics in Trump's schedule right now, with Zelensky and Netanyahu visits reported on July 28. Trump is also publicly pressing the Federal Reserve on interest rates, which involves large financial numbers. Venezuela is not directly mentioned in the recent headlines. These topics could naturally come up in a cabinet meeting, but nothing in the news confirms what will actually be discussed on July 31. The core challenge is that nobody outside the room knows the agenda. Cabinet meetings are unpredictable: a single news event the morning of July 31 could shift the entire conversation toward or away from any of these topics. The '30+ times' threshold for large numbers is especially hard to call, since it depends on both topic choice and how Trump speaks that day. The market is priced well above 50% for all three options, meaning participants currently lean toward Yes, but a surprise agenda or a cancelled meeting could flip everything.

The odds right now

• Venezuela82%
• Job 20+ times70%
• Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times68%
• Fed / Federal Reserve61%
• Iran / Israel 10+ times60%
• AI / Artificial Intelligence60%
• Hell 3+ times58%
• Socialist46%
• Biden / Obama 10+ times45%
• Putin43%
• Trump Derangement Syndrome42%
• Russia41%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

Trump is scheduled to hold a cabinet meeting on July 31, 2026 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ytbAVpDBXs&t=62s). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during the cabinet meeting scheduled for July 31, 2026. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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