What will Trump say during his Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking which specific words Trump will actually say out loud during a scheduled White House announcement about American nuclear energy policy on July 24, 2026. Each word or phrase listed is its own separate question: does he say 'invest' (or 'invested'/'investment'), does he say a number like 'million,' 'billion,' or 'trillion' at least ten times, and does he say 'oil'? Yes means he said it during that specific event; No means he did not. The market settles based on audio or video of the exact scheduled event, a White House announcement titled 'The President makes an Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation,' at 3:00 PM ET on July 24, 2026. If Trump says the word in that appearance, it resolves Yes. Words said at any other speech, press conference, or interview do not count. There is one important edge case: if the event is cancelled or no recording becomes available by July 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, a special 'No Qualifying Event' bracket resolves Yes and every word bracket resolves No. No news from the provided headlines directly covers the content of this nuclear announcement. The headlines from July 24 focus on Trump imposing new tariffs on trading partners and a Pentagon report on U.S. troop casualties in a war with Iran. These tell us something about the political atmosphere of the day, but nothing specific about what was said at the nuclear event itself. To know how these markets resolved, the actual event recording would be the only thing that matters. The main uncertainty here is simply what words Trump chose to use in this one specific speech, in this one specific room, on this specific afternoon. Nuclear policy announcements almost always involve investment language and large dollar figures, which is why 'invest' and large numbers are priced so high. 'Oil' is less obviously connected to a nuclear event, which explains its lower odds. The biggest wild card is the cancellation clause: if the event did not happen or was not recorded publicly, all word brackets flip to No automatically.

The odds right now

• Oil100%
• Windmill100%
• Hottest100%
• National Security100%
• Supreme Court100%
• Coal100%
• Democrat100%
• Barack Hussein Obama100%
• Iran 3+ times99%
• Gas / Gasoline99%
• Fake News52%
• Communist / Communism51%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

Donald Trump is scheduled to make an Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation on July 24, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET. (https://x.com/WHPressPool/status/2080478548846924026). Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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