What will Trump say during remarks in Las Vegas?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking which specific words or topics Trump will mention out loud during a scheduled speech in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026. Each item, 'Tax 30+ times', 'Stock Market', and 'Waitress', is its own separate Yes or No question. For 'Tax 30+ times', Yes means he says the word 'tax' at least thirty times during that one speech. For the others, Yes simply means he says that word or phrase at least once during the remarks. Someone will review the audio or video recording of the Las Vegas event specifically scheduled for 4:30 PM ET on August 5, 2026, and count or confirm whether each term was spoken. Only words said during that exact event count. If Trump mentions something at a different event the same day, it does not count. If the event is cancelled or no recording is available by 11:59 PM ET on August 6, 2026, all topic questions resolve No, and a special 'No Qualifying Event' bracket resolves Yes instead. The news provided does not include anything related to this Las Vegas event or Trump's upcoming remarks. No relevant recent headlines were given. The kind of news that would matter here includes any announcement about the event's agenda, its host organization, or whether the event gets cancelled or rescheduled. The main uncertainty is simply what Trump decides to talk about on that specific day. His speeches are conversational and often go off-script, which makes word counts genuinely hard to predict. The 'Tax 30+ times' question is the most specific, since reaching that exact count depends on how long and how focused the speech is. There is also a cancellation risk: if the event does not happen, all three topic markets resolve No automatically.

The odds right now

• Stock Market76%
• Waitress76%
• Tax 30+ times67%
• Through the Roof64%
• Job 15+ times61%
• Hell 8+ times45%
• Police Officer44%
• Beautiful 15+ times40%
• No No No37%
• COVID / Warp Speed34%
• Warren Buffett28%
• Rural Health / Rural Healthcare28%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 5, 2026

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026, at 4:30 PM ET. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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