Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple question: which fighter will hold the official UFC Middleweight title on December 31, 2026? A Yes for any named fighter means that person is the recognized undisputed champion on that specific date. It is not about who wins a single fight, but about who is wearing the belt at the very end of the year, whenever that final check happens. The market settles based on whoever the UFC officially lists as the undisputed Middleweight champion at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026. Interim titles do not count, so a fighter holding only a temporary belt would not qualify. If the belt is vacant at that exact moment, the market resolves to a catch-all 'Other' option rather than to any named fighter. The UFC's own website is the official source. None of the provided news headlines relate to UFC Middleweight championship activity. There are no recent reports here about fights, title defenses, or contender bouts in this division. The kind of news that would matter to watch for includes announced title fights, injury updates for the named fighters, or any UFC schedule changes affecting Middleweight bouts before the end of 2026. A lot can happen in a combat sport between now and December 31, 2026. Multiple title fights could occur, champions can lose on any given night, injuries can force cancellations or change matchups entirely, and a new contender could emerge and win the belt. The market currently favors Strickland at 58%, meaning it sees him as more likely than not to hold the title, but MMA upsets are common enough that nearly half the market's weight sits elsewhere.

The odds right now

• Sean Strickland-0.7 pts (1w)59%
• Nassourdine Imavov+1.9 pts (1w)26%
• Khamzat Chimaev+1.0 pts (1w)15%
• Dricus Du Plessis-5.7 pts (1w)3%
• Anthony Hernandez0%
• Brendan Allen0%
• Israel Adesanya0%
• Caio Borralho-0.8 pts (1w)0%
• Reinier de Ridder0%
• Robert Whittaker0%
• Jared Cannonier-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Joe Pyfer0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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