Will a trailer for ___ premiere during San Diego Comic-Con 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether a brand-new trailer or teaser for each listed title will have its world premiere at San Diego Comic-Con 2026, which runs July 22-26. A Yes means the studio drops fresh video footage, either publicly online or screened inside the convention, for the first time during those specific days. A No means the title skips Comic-Con entirely, or only shows already-released footage, or reveals something like a poster but no video. Each title resolves Yes the moment an official new trailer or teaser premieres during Comic-Con 2026, July 22-26, in San Diego. It must be video footage, not just images or behind-the-scenes clips. If footage leaked online before the event, that alone does not count, but studios can still qualify by officially premiering it at the convention. If nothing qualifies by the close of Comic-Con, the market settles as No. The studio's own releases are the main source of confirmation, backed by credible news reporting. None of the provided news headlines relate to these titles, Comic-Con 2026, or any of the studios involved. There is nothing relevant to point to here. The kind of news that would matter includes official panel announcements from Amazon, Sony, or Marvel Studios confirming their presence at Comic-Con, or any early trailer releases before the event. The three titles sit at very different odds, and that spread reflects real differences in certainty. Rings of Power at 88% and Blade Runner 2099 at 86% are priced as likely but not guaranteed, since studios can pull out of Comic-Con, shift strategy, or release trailers earlier or later than planned. Avengers: Doomsday at 54% is genuinely close to a coin flip, possibly because its release timing or marketing schedule makes a Comic-Con premiere uncertain. For any title, a last-minute change in studio plans could flip the outcome quickly.

The odds right now

• The Rings of Power Season 3+14.5 pts (1w)88%
• Blade Runner 2099+1.5 pts (1w)86%
• Avengers: Doomsday-25.0 pts (1w)59%
• Star Trek: Strange New Worlds-9.5 pts (1w)49%
• God of War Laufey+13.0 pts (1w)41%
• Spider-Man: Brand New Day+16.0 pts (1w)24%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 26, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new trailer or teaser for the listed title makes its first public appearance during San Diego Comic-Con 2026, currently scheduled to be held on July 22-26, 2026 at the San Diego Convention Center. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

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